Three ways in which Russia manifested its military incompetence in Ukraine

Two weeks after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the Russian military’s defeat – technically and strategically – may come as a surprise to one of the world’s largest military forces. Conversation.

Vladimir Putin with Russian Defense Minister Sergei Choiku and his entouragePhoto: Yevgeny Paulin / TASS / Profimedia Images

There are a number of issues that can be analyzed in relation to the poor performance of the Russian Armed Forces in Ukraine so far, such as the inability to effectively fight Ukrainian drones or the failure to conduct the cyber war expected by experts.

But failures in three specific categories deserve further analysis.

Institutional failures

The first problem that soon became apparent was the poor performance of the Russian armed forces. In some cases, the Russian offensive slowed down and sometimes caused a complete blockade due to a complete lack of logistical support for the front line forces.

There have been many reports Exhausted Russian tanks and armored vehiclesPushing Russian soldiers to the point of demanding, soliciting or stealing fuel in order to continue their advancement.

Russian soldiers, Many of them are hiredForced to search for food, there are reports of who some are They stole chickens And Special Forces soldiers entering stores for food.

There are also videos of food supplies being provided to Russian troops for a few days Ration expired for many years.

Russia has considerable time to prepare for its invasion, move logistical support into place, and spend months massaging troops along the border with Ukraine.

But the scenes with the heavily congested convoy, unable to make progress, show Russia’s incompetent administration in a surprising way. These logistical failures are as disgraceful to Russia as they are to Ukraine.

Prior to the conflict, there had been unusual communications failures between the military and the military.

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In the early stages of the invasion, information emerged about a large number of Russian soldiers who were unaware of the invasion of Ukraine.

Some of the captured Russian soldiers said they felt it was a military exercise until they were fired upon by Ukrainian units.

Many Russian communications were broadcast on unencrypted channels. Russian bombers broadcasting on high-frequency radio stations were intercepted by amateur radio enthusiasts. Communications between Russian ground units are also openly transmitted and easily intercepted by Ukraine.

Overall, this illustrates a clear picture of Russia’s incompetence. Add to all this the instability (of many Russian soldiers who surrendered or He abandons his vehicles And equipment) which only exacerbated the consequences of the poor performance of the Russian Armed Forces.

Sukhoi planes in military parade over Moscow (photo: Alexei Filippov / Sputnik / Profimedia pictures)

No air dominance

One of Russia’s most important failures, and the most damaging to its campaign, is its inability to achieve air superiority.

In military terms, this means sufficient dominance to conduct air operations (such as supporting ground units or airstrikes) without significant interference from the enemy and their air defense systems.

Prior to the invasion, Russia was expected to gain air superiority soon. On paper, this is because the Russian Air Force is far superior to Ukraine.

Prior to the invasion, Ukraine had the seventh largest air force in Europe. While this may seem strong – and relatively so – the total number of Ukrainian aircraft of all kinds (combat, air support, helicopters, transport, etc.) is only 200.

By comparison, there were about 1,500 fighter jets in Russia alone. In addition, most aircraft in the Ukrainian Armed Forces are older aircraft from Soviet times, with 50 MiG-29 and 32 Su-27 aircraft in Kiev.

Russia uses modern versions of Soviet aircraft, namely the Su-30, Su-33 and Su-35 (modernized variants of the Su-27 used by Ukraine).

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Russia also has modern ground attack aircraft such as the Su-34 (another variant of the Su-27, suitable for ground attack operations) and long-range strategic bombers such as the Tu-22, Tu-95 and Tu-160.

However, some images after the invasion suggest that even Russian ground attack aircraft were based on commercial GPS units. If this is true, it only strengthens Russia’s incompetence.

Shortly before the outbreak of war, US intelligence expected that an invasion would begin with a devastating Russian attack on Ukraine’s aircraft capabilities.

But almost three weeks after the conflict erupted, Ukraine still has the bulk of its air and missile defenses. This raises the question of why Russia is not making full use of its air power. Should a portion of it be set aside if the conflict escalates?

Whatever the reason, Russia’s lack of air supremacy in the early stages of the conflict may have been one of the most important strategic mistakes that helped the Ukrainian defenders.

Russian planes are having difficulty providing the necessary support to ground forces, which has led Ukrainian forces to counter Russia’s advance.

Iskander Missile System (Photo: Wikimedia Commons – Vitaly V. Gusmin)

Yield and failure of Russian weapons

Russia’s sophisticated offensive capabilities were also disappointing. Some of the early stages of the invasion included strategic bombardment of Ukrainian targets with naval missiles and Iskander short-range ballistic missiles.

By March 1, Russia had fired 320 missiles into Ukraine, most of them ISKCON short-range ballistic missiles – making this attack the largest and most intense short-range intercontinental ballistic missile between states.

Iskander missiles are estimated to have a range of 500 km and an accuracy of 2-5 meters. Prior to the invasion, the Iskander missile system was expected to be effective and catastrophic.

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But, interestingly, his performance was desirable.

For example, Iskander missiles were used to attack Ukrainian air bases, destroy runways and prevent the Ukrainian Air Force from operating effectively. But as you can see in the pictures below, the accuracy of the previously appreciated Iskander missiles is much lower than expected.

As the conflict progressed, Russia began to use less and less efficient weapons systems Unaided bombs And Cluster bombs.

This could indicate that Russia has a limited number of sophisticated weapons or that military officials in Moscow are stockpiling them if the conflict escalates. However, the American press wrote last weekend that it was Moscow Sought military assistance from China.

Despite all the contradictions, the Ukrainian Air Force is at war. There is no doubt that Russia will learn from its mistakes and try to correct them. Unfortunately, in terms of the number of soldiers and equipment, she still has the advantage of the numbers on her side.

But given the impact of sanctions on the Russian economy, Russia will not be able to sustain the conflict for long.

As for Ukraine, delays caused by Russia’s mistakes could lead to a better outcome.

Follow the latest developments LIVETEXT 19th day of the war in Ukraine at HOTNEWS.RO.

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