Elon Musk Hints Starship Rocket May Explode On First Orbital Launch, Predicts 50% Chance Of Success And ‘Excitement Guaranteed’

SpaceX CEO Elon Musk (left) said the spacecraft may not reach orbit on its first attempt. This could mean that it is exploding, like previous spacecraft models (right).Britta Pedersen-Pool/Getty Images; Spadre.com

SpaceX is preparing to launch its massive Starship rocket into orbit for the first time CEO Elon MuskAn ambitious plan to eventually build an independent country human settlement on Mars.

Musk said SpaceX is ready for that Starship launches from its facility in Boca Chica, Texas – an area the company calls “Starbase” – once it has received a launch permit from the Federal Aviation Administration.

As with any first launch, small defect In a missile’s complex hardware or software engineering can easily make everything work fine.

in interview At the Morgan Stanley conference on March 7, Musk said the rocket has a 1 in 2 chance of not reaching orbit.

“I’m not saying it’s going to orbit, but I guarantee excitement,” he said, adding, “It won’t be boring!”

“I think it’s got, I don’t know, about 50% hope of getting into orbit,” Musk said, adding that SpaceX is building Multiple vehicle missiles All in all, there is an 80% chance that one of them will reach orbit this year.

If a date Starship suborbital test flights It tells us anything, however, that failure to reach orbit could mean the rocket explodes.

Starship has exploded before, but its future could be bright

Spacecraft model collage explosions SpaceX Boca Chica Spadri

Left to right: The SN8, SN9 and SN10 models exploded.Jane Blevins/Reuters. Spadre.com

If successful, the launch would prove to be the world’s first fully reusable orbital rocket, paving the way for SpaceX to revolutionize the orbital economy.

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Starship and its 230-foot booster, so heavyboth designed to land themselves on the ground in order to fly again another day.

This is a big money-saving measure, since SpaceX wouldn’t have to build a new upper stage for every rocket launch. The Starship is also designed to carry giant payloads into space, up to 250 metric tons of payload to orbit, up to 150 metric tons if the rocket is reused, according to SpaceX. website.

This will increase efficiency to make it cheaper to send satellites, spacecraft, cargo and people to Earth’s orbit and beyond, to the Moon and Mars.

The Starship’s promise of reusability and sheer flight power made it attractive to NASA, which The vehicle chose to land its astronauts on the moon again For the first time since 1972. The agency aims to achieve this historic moon landing in the mid-2020s.

Lunar spacecraft human landing system

Illustration of SpaceX’s Starship as a lander carrying NASA astronauts to the moon.SpaceX

First, though, the Starship has to orbit Earth and return safely. two years ago, SpaceX has completed a series of test flightslaunching spacecraft models six miles into the air above Boca Chica.

The first four exploded, with just one action Sticking to the drop before it explodes.

finally, The fifth spacecraft model Soaring 33,000 feet in the air, it cut its engines to descend back toward the ground, then re-ignited it just in time to flip itself upright and lower gently onto the landing pad.

The spacecraft has not flown since. Its first attempt to fly into orbit will be its biggest test yet.

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